Would this work?
1) Make enough money to start a business that will buy an apartment complex, and hold cash on hand
2) I rent it out to people, and give them the option to buy their portion of the building over time (eg: $1M property with 10 renters, each with the chance to buy up to $100k)
3) Return an approximate real estate market rate with a minimum and maximum to flatten out bubbles and return a portion of rental income less property upkeep expenses.
4) All money goes into a savings account that the renter is able to withdraw from at any time as long as they live there, and they receive in total, less the cost of repairs, upon moving out.
5) As property is bought back from business, buy another apartment complex and repeat.
Net effect:
1) Company operates like a bank, and would have to hold reserves appropriate to what they could expect renters to withdraw at any given time
2) Company's revenue would be keeping a portion of the total value of the home.
3) Renters have an incentive to keep the building and neighborhood in good shape
4) Renters effectively have the opportunity to purchase a condo with no interest payments, but always chasing the total property value. The faster they buy it, the less they chase, and the less rent they pay.
5) Means that if the renter could buy a condo, they should do that instead so they don't always have to chase the property value. That ensures that this program will continue to reach the target market - renters who have a desire and ability to own something. Should screen for this with applicants (non-paycheck to paycheck, but savers)
6) Could the business file as a bank so it is able to lend itself money to expand? No, because then it would have to cover interest on borrowed money. Just need to make enough to eventually start a lending portfolio as well.
7) Could the business file as a non-profit? Make enough to pay employees and to expand to new properties, and that is all.
8) Could this business be started by the government? Probably shouldn't be, but maybe there are some grants available.
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Wednesday, October 9, 2013
Inequality for All
Heard Robert Reich on NPR this morning promoting the documentary "Inequality for All". I hope to go see it soon, but wanted to put down a few thoughts on the interview before I forgot them.
The CEO making $10M-$30M per year saying he doesn't know where all his money goes, and the poor would be better off with it because they spend - highly anecdotal, but I should watch to see what the full story is. However, that does raise a good point: when economists and politicians are considering particular policies, is there a metric for how much of the money will enter the market, and how much will be absorbed? Dollars spent, in either production or consumption, per dollar of stimulus? I know traditionally production is preferred, but since we are such a consumer market, is consumption close to as good? In a recession, is consumption required to entice greater production? I really need to brush up on these basics.
Reich supports increasing the minimum wage as a way to combat technology and globalization. Going back to my last post, that is just a band-aid!
The call-ins were obtusely simple, like, "tax the capitalists who are profiting from all the machines that are replacing workers." ...and who do you suppose made those machines? The reason they say technology "displaces" jobs rather than "destroys" is because the job the machine does is replaced by jobs to make, sell, and repair that machine.
Also, should read Tip and the Gipper, and find some other first hand accounts of political history, not just the historical outcomes.
The CEO making $10M-$30M per year saying he doesn't know where all his money goes, and the poor would be better off with it because they spend - highly anecdotal, but I should watch to see what the full story is. However, that does raise a good point: when economists and politicians are considering particular policies, is there a metric for how much of the money will enter the market, and how much will be absorbed? Dollars spent, in either production or consumption, per dollar of stimulus? I know traditionally production is preferred, but since we are such a consumer market, is consumption close to as good? In a recession, is consumption required to entice greater production? I really need to brush up on these basics.
Reich supports increasing the minimum wage as a way to combat technology and globalization. Going back to my last post, that is just a band-aid!
The call-ins were obtusely simple, like, "tax the capitalists who are profiting from all the machines that are replacing workers." ...and who do you suppose made those machines? The reason they say technology "displaces" jobs rather than "destroys" is because the job the machine does is replaced by jobs to make, sell, and repair that machine.
Also, should read Tip and the Gipper, and find some other first hand accounts of political history, not just the historical outcomes.
Tuesday, October 1, 2013
Income Inequality - Globalization and Technology
I heard excerpts from Obama's interview with NPR this morning, and I think the most interesting question was what he thought about the way the divide between rich and poor has increased over the course of his presidency. Obama cited globalization and technology as forces that pushed middle class jobs overseas or replaced them with machines. These are prevalent trends and the Obama administration is doing what they can to combat them. He said he did not believe these factors made the divide inevitable, but what he cited as steps he's taken to mitigate them were nothing more than band-aids: raising the minimum wage, closing tax loop holes, making the income tax more progressive, etc. If you are benefiting from a raise in the minimum wage or an increase in food stamps, then you are not, and will not be, part of the middle class. Disposable income is the key to a middle class existence, be it for a more comfortable lifestyle or for being able to save for retirement. No disposable income = no middle class. One thing that I hope he mentioned was how many fewer people would be falling out of the middle class on account of medical expenses, thanks to Obamacare. He has taken steps to stop the number one cause of bankruptcy, and should receive tremendous credit for that if successful. But the downside of globalization and technology are combated through education, and it looks like that's going to be somebody else's claim to fame.
Sure, taxes could be more progressive, and certain banking practices could be made illegal, but it comes down to what jobs Americans are getting. To improve the jobs Americans are getting, technology needs to become an ally. Technology can be a driving force behind jobs directly or indirectly, as a means to an end or as the end itself. We don't view things like planes, trains, or automobiles as technology, but they were at one time, and they created tremendous business. They ultimately became so ubiquitous that they're just a part of ordinary life, and our normal economy now. I'm sure fleets of stage coach drivers and mountain guides were replaced by a small team of train engineers, but was that a weight on the economy? No! When did our view of technology become so backwards? Oh yea, when we stopped educating our students to be able to change with the times.
Nobody would say that public education was better back when steel was being invented than it is now. What can be argued however is that there wasn't such a void between where education ended and where utilization of modern technology began. For example, anyone could pick up a steel shovel or walk into a steel building with no prior knowledge, and be able to benefit from the technology; that may not be the case for today's computer driven economy. As steel structures became ever more complicated, greater education was needed to meet the challenge, same is true of today's tech. The big difference lies in the fact that from the beginning of the 20th century to around the 70's, our education system was adequate in closing the gap between the state of technology and how much learning was required to profit from it. In other countries, that's still true, but we have fallen behind. The gap between where our schools leave us and where the state of technology is today has widened.
I think some notes on the Khan Academy would be an appropriate followup to this post, then probably a post on business practices, which I think is really where the divide comes from (ie: technology and globalization are already allies, and have already made America wealthy, but that wealth does not spread).
Sure, taxes could be more progressive, and certain banking practices could be made illegal, but it comes down to what jobs Americans are getting. To improve the jobs Americans are getting, technology needs to become an ally. Technology can be a driving force behind jobs directly or indirectly, as a means to an end or as the end itself. We don't view things like planes, trains, or automobiles as technology, but they were at one time, and they created tremendous business. They ultimately became so ubiquitous that they're just a part of ordinary life, and our normal economy now. I'm sure fleets of stage coach drivers and mountain guides were replaced by a small team of train engineers, but was that a weight on the economy? No! When did our view of technology become so backwards? Oh yea, when we stopped educating our students to be able to change with the times.
Nobody would say that public education was better back when steel was being invented than it is now. What can be argued however is that there wasn't such a void between where education ended and where utilization of modern technology began. For example, anyone could pick up a steel shovel or walk into a steel building with no prior knowledge, and be able to benefit from the technology; that may not be the case for today's computer driven economy. As steel structures became ever more complicated, greater education was needed to meet the challenge, same is true of today's tech. The big difference lies in the fact that from the beginning of the 20th century to around the 70's, our education system was adequate in closing the gap between the state of technology and how much learning was required to profit from it. In other countries, that's still true, but we have fallen behind. The gap between where our schools leave us and where the state of technology is today has widened.
I think some notes on the Khan Academy would be an appropriate followup to this post, then probably a post on business practices, which I think is really where the divide comes from (ie: technology and globalization are already allies, and have already made America wealthy, but that wealth does not spread).
Saturday, September 21, 2013
Rock Climbing Notes
Key notes from a lot of videos on youtube:
- Obviously, keep your body in tight to the wall whenever you are making a move
- Whenever possible, keep your center of gravity on the line perpendicular to the hold's edge, and pull your weight along that line to make the next move
- particularly important for "slopers"
- Also want as much surface contact as possible
- Use straight arms to hang to save energy, until you make your move
- The hip of whichever arm is extended is the one that should be close to the wall when reaching.
- Put your weight either on the inside of your big toe, or the outside of your pinky toe
- Most natural progression of moves: Find a solid hand hold, set your feet to be able to push yourself to the next solid hold, make the reach/grab, reset the feet, then release the original solid hold and start again. If you release the solid hold before resetting the feet (and your center of gravity), then your body will make a more dramatic swing to its new base, and cause you to fall off.
- Use your leg as a counter balance, whether it's out in the air, or flagging against the wall
Notes from Improve Your Climbing:
- Have an active leg and a balancing/stabilizing leg
- Twist lock - can keep the straight/hanging arm nearly straight even when making the move, by twisting your body in toward the wall.
- Bend the knee on the side of the reaching arm
- pivot toe from straight on to outside edge
- Extends the range of the reach
- Keeping the arm straight improves blood flow in addition to saving energy
- Outside Edge - Don't need to use foot holds on the left with the left foot, could step through with the right foot, placing the outside edge of the foot on the hold
- Forces a hip into the wall
- same as the twist lock
- get your feet into position with the active leg bent, then start the move by extending that leg, THEN making the reach, not the other way around
- General Note: Ok to be parallel and have the butt out when setting up for the move, but bring the hips in tight to the wall during the actual move
- Flagging - Pushing the free leg against the wall for stability.
- Use the counter balancing leg to push against the wall either in front of or below the active leg
- If the active foothold is high, then flag behind
- If the active foothold is low, flag in front
- Should fully extend the active leg at the start of the move, then make the reach
- Drop Knee - the above moves are all for a single foothold. For two footholds, use an analogous technique where you pivot your hips to the wall, but now the knee is bent downward, rather than leg extended
- move enables you to utilize a very high foot hold
- in this case, the active leg stays very bent, and the one usually acting as the balancing leg may give a bit of a push or stay bent
- the outward pressure from both legs creates a bit of a bridge between two stable points
- must have careful foot placement in order to have room to pivot from inside to outside of your foot
- place the pivoting foot while you're hanging with straight arms. Ok to have butt away from the wall to make the placement, then as you pivot, the hips come to the wall as the knee clears out of the way
- need to rotate fully in order to lock into place (will look like you are running along the wall, with toes, hips, and knees all pointing in the same direction)
Wednesday, December 26, 2012
Henry George - Progress and Poverty
Notes from the text:
Introduction
Ch1: Why Traditional Theories of Wages are Wrong
CH 6: The Theory of Population According to Malthus
Introduction
- The gist of his argument is that the areas of greatest progress are the areas of greatest poverty. The progress that generates luxuries for some creates poverty for others.
- This is most highly concentrated in the most developed, wealthiest cities
- Workers emigrate to developing areas seeking higher wages, capital flows there seeking higher interest
- Progress does not prevent poverty, but rather, just as progress advances to the point where some live a life of ease, other willing workers are unable to find work. "Beggars and prisons are the mark of progress as surely as elegant mansions, bulging warehouses, and magnificent churches."
- The basic argument is that producers become more efficient and reduce their need for labor, and wages are driven down in favor of profits
- Important to note, the alternative -- a lack of progress -- no one lives in luxury, but all who desire work are able to make a living working
- This may partially explain why the majority of large well established cities are blue states, and why more rural areas tend to be red states. They experience different economic environments -- one has great riches and great poverty, preferring that government do something about the imbalance, the other having less striation and less luxury, but the ability to make a living. Also included in the red states are the up and coming cities in Texas, sprawled out and not yet over populated and over run by the ill effects of progress.
- One important question which I hope the author addresses is, does progress inherently create poverty, or is it due to a correctable factor, such as more fairly distributing wage amongst workers. A company could hire fewer workers in favor of fixed capital, but so long as he keeps wage and profit in the same balance, the same amount of money is getting back into the local economy, and another company could take up those fired employees.
- Another prophetic quote, "Progress simply widens the gulf between rich and poor. It makes the struggle for existence more intense. Wherever these forces are at work, large classes are maintained on charity."
- My own thoughts: Technological advances are key to economic progress, just as it is key to military success (can include innovative devices as well as innovative techniques). The difference is that while military advances equally benefit (or hurt) a country's citizens, economic advances benefit only those partaking in it. If military worked the same way, then only the soldiers and generals would benefit from success on the battlefield. We also treat our military members as heroes for their efforts, and to some extent we treat economic "generals" as idols. Why not be more forthcoming with that treatment, but also ask more from them. Thank them for pushing this country forward, but also recognize that this is truly the rising tide that is meant to raise all boats. It would absolutely be best if this be recognized through company policy, rather than through legislation.
Ch1: Why Traditional Theories of Wages are Wrong
- Traditional theories rely on three axioms: 1) Wages are set by the ratio between workers and capital available for labor, 2) Population increases faster than capital (and is in fact restricted by capital), and therefore 3) wages always tend toward the lowest levels workers will tolerate
- Interesting that prices are also supposed to tend to the lowest levels consumers will tolerate, but that supposition isn't occurring, while lowest wages are
- quick comment on the fallacies of protectionism on pg 9
- would be interesting to see a plot of the ratio (work force/compensation) or even (employed work force/compensation) over time, and see how that stacks up against median wage over time
- I disagree with his logic regarding the relationship between wages and interest from the traditional perspective. If wage is determined by the ratio of labor force and capital, and capital not used on wage may be invested elsewhere, then a high demand for labor resulting in high wage would mean less funds available for investing elsewhere, so high demand for capital, and high interest rates, which as he observes is what we do actually experience. However, you could have higher wage, with fewer workers and not see the amount of capital used for wage change at all, and consequently not see any change in interest rates, which I think is also reflected by reality
- George states that "Wages are not drawn from capital. On the contrary, wages are drawn from the product of the labor for which they are paid." (regarding production of goods, not services)
- If wages are drawn from capital then: labor is limited by capital, labor can only be employed after the accumulation of capital, conversion of circulating capital to fixed capital reduces capital available for wage (I disagree, it just gets transferred to the wage of producers of fixed capital), more laborers can be employed at low wage than at high wage (...disproving this would pretty well blow my mind. Even proving his statement here would not discount this notion), profits are high when wages are low.
- Argues that if capital is the store of labor's value, then requiring capital in order to permit labor is to require labor in order to permit labor, requiring that there be some initial injection of capital to allow the first labor to begin
- In actuality, that is exactly what happens. The government either injects money directly, or money is created through debt taken on by an entrepreneur (but of course borrowed money is just saved money from someone else, so truly money is only injected at some point by the government)
- Something I have also attempted to explain, and the basis for my own economic solutions, "There is a fundamental truth in all economic reasoning that we must firmly grasp and never let go of. Modern society, though highly developed, is only an elaboration of the simplest society." pg. 13
- Trade allowed for division of labor, money replaced bartering to simplify the exchange process and further the benefits of specialization, but our wage in money still represents the relative value of our own labor in terms of what we could get had we traded directly. With such a vast market, it is difficult to accurately place a value on wage, though it is done automatically through supply and demand for labor (and in the traditional notion, that is relative to the supply and demand for capital), just as supply and demand for the products sets prices, which must also limit wage for the labor going into that product.
- Also of note is that the division of labor permits specialization, even if unrelated, if the goods are exchanged, then my bread making has contributed to the ability of a berry picker, by freeing up the time he would have to have spent on doing multiple tasks less efficiently; thus, both benefit. Likewise, the worker bees are what make it possible for the CEOs to specialize in managing.
- In primitive societies, production precedes enjoyment. A fisherman and a canoe maker must each provide their labor before either may receive the benefits of that labor.
- But is that necessarily different from traditional thought? Employees work first, get paid later, it's just that the employer must have the money by the time pay day comes around. Likewise in nature, the fish must previously be in the river before the fisherman and canoe maker may enjoy the fish. If the fisherman knew there was no fish there, he wouldn't go fishing, likewise an employee would not go to work if he suspected his boss couldn't pay him.
- The important point though, is that money is just the representation of how much of the total product of society the worker has earned -- a place holder/marker. It is not a prerequisite to the work itself. (last paragraph pg 15)
- Wage - Compensation paid to someone for their exertion in producing wealth -- labor of any sort
- Capital - wealth/stock devoted to producing more wealth/stock
- Confusions: There are things equivalent to possessing capital, and whether or not something is or is not capital is determined by its use
- Interest - Return for the use of capital
- Rent - Return for the use of land
- Land - the whole material universe outside of humans themselves - land, water, animals, sky, etc.
- Wealth - "Increase in the amount of bonds, mortgages, or notes cannot increase the wealth of the community, since that community includes those who pay as well as those who receive. Slavery does not increase the wealth of a people, for what the masters gain the enslaved lose. Rising land values do not increase the common wealth, as whatever landowners gain by higher prices, tenants or purchasers lose in paying them. All this relative wealth is undistinguished from actual wealth in legislation and law, as well as common thought and speech. Yet with the destruction of nothing more than a few drops of ink and a piece of paper, all this “wealth” could be utterly annihilated. By an act of law, debts may be canceled, slaves emancipated, land made common property. Yet the aggregate wealth would not be diminished at all—for what some would lose others would gain. Wealth was not created when Queen Elizabeth graced her favorite courtiers with profitable monopolies, nor when Boris Godunov declared Russian peasants to be property. The term wealth, when used in political economy, does not include all things having an exchange value. It includes only those things that increase the aggregate wealth when produced or decrease it when destroyed." p.23
- Should this sentiment not be extended to the earth? Whatever wealth created is removed from the resources of the earth, thus should be limited by the rate at which the earth can replenish itself.
- A random observation: I just told my boss about the nature of poverty in cities, and he immediately concluded it's because that's where all the socialist money goes. There are certain people whose brains I think have a talent for making any stat -- true or false -- conform to their existing view of the world, rather than asking what the nature of that stat is, and how it could be proven. And this has nothing to do with intelligence, he is a very smart person. In this case, the depths of poverty that are pervasive within a city exist in large cities all over the world, regardless of the social system, and I would probably argue that it is less severe in the more socialized states... though that's neither here nor there.
- Considers wealth to include tangible things that have a real value, not just a relative value. Things that are made of natural substances, converted by human labor for human use
- Wealth is not the sole objective of labor - because there are also service and transportation jobs - but is the objective of "productive labor"
- Capital - Agrees with Adam Smith that capital is "that part of a man’s stock which he expects to yield him a revenue."
- in terms of wealth, capital is the wealth that is not yet exchanged, or that is dedicated to production
- considers transportation, storekeepers, middlemen, etc. to be a part of production
- I would tend to consider those services rather than production. They provide the service of getting a product from point A to point B, but the absence of their service does not destroy capital
- Argues that if you pick wild berries, those berries are your wage, with no capital involved. However, in the next example - shoe making from leather and thread - he states that the leather and thread are the initial capital, labor is applied and value added, and the resulting product is pre-existing capital + value added by labor. He argues the difference in the value of the original materials and the final product are the wage. Then, in the first example, the initial "capital" is the berry, and the wage would be the value of bringing the berry from the bush to home.
- His explanation is muddled, but his point is a good one; that is, value is in each of us and is in our own efforts. The things we receive for our efforts must also have value, or we should not exchange our labor value for them
- The further point he makes I think is less true; he argues that our efforts are the precondition to production, not the capital, but I think that is only because he does not consider natural resources to be capital. I don't know if there's a difference to him between water in a stream or water in a pipe, but where a farmer gets his water doesn't make it to be capital or not, it's whether he uses it to grow crops. There must be something to be had in exchange for labor, be it the thing produced by labor, or money that is paid for the thing produced, and in order to produce anything there must also be the resources (capital) to produce it!
- Argues the fund used to pay wage is the fund created by labor, but I think there is too much instantaneous transaction going on here: Producer procures necessary capital for production, and must be confident he has a buyer or would go out of business. He fronts the money to pay for wage, knowing that he can get more money once the produced goods are sold to buyers. Buyers are either end consumers or a middleman to an end consumer, but in the absence of payment from end consumers, there would be no wage. THAT is where the capital ultimately comes from. Let me see if I can better explain George's theory:
- In the absence of money, wage would be the difference in value between the resources used and the product produced, and if the effort is put forth to create something for oneself, then the laborer is also the end consumer. Once we start making things for other end consumers, the value is still that difference, but if no consumer will pay for the product, then someone between laborer and retailer will get stuck with that product and will have effectively paid for something for which they had no need. If that is the expected outcome, then the supply of capital going to the production of that good will dry up, and no one will be hired to produce it, the value in each laborer will no longer be used to create that product, and will hopefully be set to more necessary productive means. In essence, desire for a product could also be considered capital, as that desire is represented in money and ultimately pays for wage and capital going into that product.
- To summarize: A businessman anticipates there being an end consumer who will pay for the product of the labor, and can either front the money for wage or pay after the exchange, but the desire for the product must exist (either before or after production), and that desire must manifest itself in some form of payment, or future production will halt.
- "Production is the source of wages. Wages come from the fruits of labor—not the advance of capital. Labor always precedes wages." p. 31 - I would consider none of that to be true even considering his explanation
- The point he's confusing is that wages may also be paid prior to completion of a product. I may be paid every 2 weeks for something completed only once every 2 years, but that doesn't mean I'll keep on doing it until completion without pay. What he may not be accounting for is the value added by the employer, which may include coordinating many efforts into a single product, and also anticipating market behavior. An employer could be seen as a temporary consumer because he really does buy the product until the time when he passes it on to a real end consumer. His wage may be derived from his labor in coordinating a work force, and his willingness to pay for a product until it can be exchanged with an end consumer.
- He makes an argument that the food and clothing needed by each worker does not count as capital, because it is expected an employee will feed and clothe himself regardless of whether the employer provides breakfast and a uniform.
- This is true to an extent, but clothing is capital if it's in some way necessary for the job, such as protective clothing or a uniform. If we were talking about a stable of horses used for production, then surely the oats fed to the horses would be considered capital. I believe the way these things should be viewed is that employers hire able employees just as they purchase functioning equipment. They pay for a person's work or a company's machine based on its ability to perform its function. If a person were so hungry and naked that he could not work, then the employer would hire someone else. Going back to Adam Smith's definition of capital being that part of a man's stock being put to productive purposes, that might go to say that the portion of a man's wage being put to being employable would be considered capital. Food that is sustenance and not luxury, clothing worn to work or an interview, water for a shower, etc. should be considered an employee's own capital in the sale of himself as a worker. The employer is buying the finished product that man has produced and presented as well as the labor to be performed.
- This is a good argument for liveable wages, because even in cases where food and uniforms are provided, hygiene, sleep, sanity, etc. are typically not. Even if a worker would work for less than a liveable wage out of desperation, they would eventually be run down to nothing and be unable to perform their job. The employer would hire the next person willing to work at that rate, until they were run down to nothing. Why does it seem obvious that if we were to work and starve cattle to death that it would be an unsustainable business practice, but when it comes to people, somehow the market magically sets what a person should be willing to work for and live on.
- Can someone in the US live on Chinese wages? Not really, because it's what the wages can buy that matters.
- Is running an employee into the ground the way you can do to cattle really an issue? No, there are many many more sacrifices an employee could make before they would become useless to the employer, especially when there are jobs where a depressed, mindless drone can perform the functions just as easily. That seems to be a good argument for people striving to do work that requires a fully functioning, intelligent human being.
- "How can it be said that wages are advanced by capital or drawn from preexisting capital? The value paid in wages is an exchange for value created by labor. And the employer always gets the capital created by labor before paying out capital in wages. At what point, then, is capital lessened, even temporarily?" p. 33 - Here George blatantly disregards the risk taken on by the employer, further confirming my suspicion that he has completely overlooked the role and value of employers.
- His cotton into cloth example is HORRIBLE, he gives a list of items used in production, then just says resources are converted to final goods, there is some wear and tear to equipment, money supply goes down in exchange for the labor, and goods sold for a profit. So, since there is a net increase in capital, there was no advance of capital!??!?! NOOOO! All those things listed as being used to accomplish production were an advance of capital, how else would they have gotten there??? These are all provided by the employer with the expectation of a return on that capital!
- Next example is even worse, "Let’s say I go to a broker to exchange silver for gold. As I give them my silver, they hand me the equivalent in gold (minus commission). Does the broker advance any capital? Certainly not! What they had before in gold, they now have in silver (plus profit!). Since they received the silver before paying out the gold, they did not—even for
an instant—advance any capital." p. 36 He has the roles completely reversed in this analogy. The employer is the one with the silver, handing those resources to the employees to have them converted into something more valuable in exchange for a commission (wage), then the employer gets his product which he expects to sell for more than whatever he paid to have it produced. But it is the EMPLOYER who advances the capital, it is the employer who risks not getting in exchange what he was promised by the labor (money changers), it is NOT the labor who has advanced ANYTHING >.<!!! - I'm skipping the rest of this chapter, this is absurd
- John Stuart Mill asserted that people are maintained “not by the produce of present labor, but of past.” p. 41. If he thinks he's going to disprove this statement based on the foundations laid out in the previous chapter, I may as well skip this chapter as well.
- If the classicists had laid out the desire for goods as a form of capital, would that have changed anything? Desire for goods is what converts money into capital, and employers assuming they can get more capital than they have paid is what makes them continue doing business.
- If that is how capital is created, is capital destroyed by taxes? Not if those taxes are used to also perform a desired function, but if it is done so inefficiently, then surely there should be some sort of efficiency factor applied. For example, in a perfectly competitive market there should be no efficiency mark down of capital used, however the more monopolistic a market, the more an efficiency factor -- determined by the monopolies -- should be applied.
- skimming this chapter I am certain Geroge is an idiot, moving on to the next chapter.
- Lists all the legitimate restraints capital has on production, but still insists a lack of capital does not restrain industry except in a few special cases. Just because the norm is for it to not happen, does not mean it doesn't happen. People rarely drown or starve to death, but it doesn't mean they don't require food and oxygen to survive.
- Goes on to blame government rather than a lack of capital with very little evidence
- His argument that indigenous people would not benefit from capital may be correct, but his reasoning is flawed. Knowledge of how to use the particular types of capital is one thing, and having a people who would want the products of that labor are another, neither of which have anything to do with whether a shortage of capital hinders progress.
- Cool quote, "No matter how much water you pour in a bucket, it can never hold more than a bucketful." p. 50 Should apply the quote to the vast wealth of the rich
- Super wrong quote, "Other things being equal, the more labor, the higher wages should be."
CH 6: The Theory of Population According to Malthus
- Malthusian Population theory: human populations tend to expand geometrically until resources can no longer sustain such growth (resources growing arithmetically). The corollary is that as resources dwindle, crime and poverty naturally arise in the void. George sees this as an all too convenient theory for the rich who would be told that even if they did spread their wealth, it is only natural that the most dense populations will experience crime and poverty.
- Ricardo made a similar theory as it applied to rents: Rents go up as cultivation extends to less and less fertile lands
- According to Malthus, "Poverty is due to the pressure of population against subsistence. Or in its other form, the number of laborers will always increase until wages are reduced to the minimum of survival." p.56 I wonder if this is actually true. Does someone need to be getting paid at the threshold of survival in order to stop the population from growing? If everyone is making a healthy living in a certain area, will others migrate there and flood the labor markets until undercutting takes us back to that minimum threshold? Is minimum wage then holding that minimum theshold artificially high, above the "survival" threshold, allowing people to continue to live wasteful lives and collecting government checks?
- On that same thread, is welfare and minimum wage what permit continued over population in the ghettos?
- are there certain prerequisites to progress? Like, before we can have things like welfare, is there not a certain level of financial maturity required of the public, and also an understanding of sex ed (condoms, abstinence, BC, etc.) to slow population growth in impoverished groups? In order to have a minimum wage, do we need to either ensure that people can earn liveable wages world wide or stop immigration and even internal migration?
- George seeks to disprove these theories
- Asserts that because it is impossible to truly distinguish causes of poverty and want, that it cannot be said that it is population growth rather than things like government and war
- Asserts that population ebs and flows, rather than growing constantly, which modern population censuses can clearly show is wrong.
- Haha, I love the lack of foresight on p. 61, talking about China and India's population densities, well a few centuries later it is a REAL problem, each country now having populations rivaling the entire global populations at the time of George's writing.
- WHAT!?! then he argues that increasing the capital of the lower classes could not have helped their abject poverty so long as the kings and princes held so much wealth.... that makes NO sense, and didn't he just argue that Malthus's convenient theory was designed to tell the rich not to provide that much needed capital? Do the rajas need to be poor in order for peasants to have adequate tools to work their fields? No.
Saturday, December 22, 2012
Understanding
Yin's latest homework assignment is a very interesting one; she is to write a paper on what she thinks should be the new American Dream. I suggested it should be "Understanding," that we should all strive to better understand each other and the world we live in. I think there are clear examples to be drawn from in international policy, domestic policy, economics, and cultural benefits. I'll write down what I think those are later, but one thing that struck me is that understanding is a double edged sword. If you think a problem could be solved if your opponent could only see things your way, then they likely think exactly the same thing. Who's to say which view is the one that needs to be understood? For example, what if I think Pastor Terry Jones should see things my way and not be a fearful bigot? What if he thinks I need to see things his way and be more realistic about who the enemies of America are? Are we to meet somewhere in the middle, simply because an opposite opinion exists to set the terms of compromise? Surely both perspectives are not equal. Should there instead be fundamental rules of understanding such as, when meaningful data exists, go with that, when there is meaningful data EXAMINE IT AGAIN to make sure it really is meaningful, when in doubt bend to the less hateful/harmful perspective. What other general guidelines should exist? Interesting philosophical question that I'm sure someone has addressed, but a quick google search is turning up nil.
Update: So, that ended up being way too difficult of a topic to write about, so Yin changed the new American Dream to be better overall health. I thought it was an interesting subject as well, so I wrote this outline which I would have used, though she didn't use it:
Update: So, that ended up being way too difficult of a topic to write about, so Yin changed the new American Dream to be better overall health. I thought it was an interesting subject as well, so I wrote this outline which I would have used, though she didn't use it:
Intro:
While the “American Dream” has made
America the wealthiest country in the world, the failings of American culture
are all over the news – the recent killings in Connecticut, before that a
murder spree in a Colorado theater, before that the trial of a woman killing
her infant child in Colorado, etc. Another battle being played out on the news for
the last four years has been the struggle over health care. There are many
forms of health, and America is failing at most of them. America is addicted to
sweet, salty, fatty junk food; doesn’t get enough exercise; depressed and
over-worked; struggles with drug abuse – legal and illegal; is desensitized to sex
and violence; and does a poor job getting psychological help to those who need
it. These are signs of a deeper problem than a lack of access to care, it is a
sign of complete societal failing. If America could have one new dream, it
should be to have a truly healthier society.
Outline
·
Intro – sequence of items in intro serve as
outline for the rest of the paper
·
Paragraph 1 – Address stressful American
Lifestyle
o
Work too many hours per day
o
Leads to poor diet and no time for exercise
o
Dependence on caffeine also decreases quality of
sleep
o
All of this is the price we pay to survive, most
of us paycheck to paycheck, and that is a leading cause of depression (this
could be its own paragraph)
·
Paragraph 2 – Drugs
o
America is over medicated
o
Pharmaceutical industry has paid to keep us that
way
o
America self-medicates with drugs and alcohol,
and is encouraged to do so socially
·
Paragraph 3 – Desensitivity
o
American media is flooded with sex and violence
– in the news, movies, video games, music, etc.
§
While individuals may not necessarily emulate
what they see, there is a cultural shift, and where the extremities lie shifts
as well
o
Desensitivity to adultery, divorce, bad
parenting, and other family breakers
·
Conclusion – Most of these issues cannot be
legislated, and even if they could, prohibiting some activities or requiring
others will not make those things happen. Government cannot solve these
problems, it is up to individuals to strive for a higher standard than the old,
monetary American Dream. The old American dream didn’t make us all wealthy, but
it did make America the richest country in the world; likewise, the new American
dream won’t make us all healthy in all the ways described, but if we put our
minds to it, we could become the healthiest country in the world.
Frank P. Ramsey
I was reading through some lecture notes on the Ramsey Growth Model of economics, and was astounded to see the years Frank Ramsey lived in were only from 1903 to 1930. He died at age 26, but before going, he had become a professor of mathematics, and contributed to both philosophy and economics. This is clearly a sign I need to be less lazy. There's also a ton of related books and articles I would like to read to follow up on his theories:
- His own writings on economics: subjective probability and utility (1926), optimal taxation (1927) and optimal one-sector economic growth (1928)
- His writings on philosophy: Universals (1925), Facts and propositions (1927), Universals of law and of fact (1928), Knowledge (1929), Theories (1929), On Truth (1929), and General propositions and causality (1929)
- The thesis of one of his friends/colleagues in philosophy: Wittgenstein’s Tractatus Logico Philosophicus
- Game theory writings that brought his philosophy of knowledge and probability to the forefront: "Theory of Games and Economic Behavior" by Neumann and Morgenstern
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